Real Estate Market REport

Are Our Attitudes and Programed Perceptions about the real estate market in The Woodlands and Houston Downside-UP?

by Ken Brand, Sales Manager - Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors / The Woodlands TX / Cell: 832-797-1779 on February 7, 2009

Upside Down Linx - By Captain Chaos

Are Our Programed Perceptions Downside-Up?

Houston will experience an 8% home price appreciation over a 2-year period which began in the Third Quarter 2008 and is projected through the Third Quarter 2010, according to a Global Economics Paper No. 177, published by Goldman Sachs about Home Prices and Credit Losses: Projections and Policy Options.  
 
The study released on January 13, 2009 analyzed 20 Metropolitan Statistical Areas.  Of the 20 Metropolitan Statistical Areas [MSA], only 3 cities were predicted to show positive appreciation in the next two years – Houston showed the highest home price appreciation at 8%, Dallas, the second highest at 7% and Denver at 3%.  All other cities were projected to have double digit declines in the next two years, except Minneapolis [-7%], Seattle [-8%] and Atlanta [-9%].  You can read the entire study on Home Price Appreciation [HPA] HERE.
 
Over the last year and continuing into 2009, Houston has been cited in multiple publications as being one of the best performing in residential real estate:

NAR Economist sites Houston as a Market to Watch!   NAR Chief Economist Dr. Lawrence Yun visited Houston on November 21, 2008 and addressed the Houston Real Estate and Mortgage Market Update event.  While in Houston, Dr. Yun conducted interviews with local media.


• Each of the outlets has run his interviews, including Channels 2, 11 and 13, and theHouston Business Journal and Houston Chronicle.

• During his interviews, he cited Houston and Denver as the top markets to watch next year and predicted a 5%+ rise in pricing for the Houston market in 2009.
 
• He also said that Houston’s real estate market is undervalued by any measure and that the expected job growth in our area will help maintain Houston’s better performance relative to the nation.
 

Houston Facts and Positive Indicators 2009

All About Houston

2008 Best Performing Cities – Houston is #16, up by twice as much from last year!

Article on Yahoo! – July 2008

Best Cities to Buy a Home

Greater Houston Partnership – July 2008

  Houston #1 Place To Live

Forbes – July 14, 2008

The Best City To Buy A Home

Kiplinger Personal Finance – July 2008

Houston #1 -  The Comeback Kid 

Business Week – June 12, 2008

Are You In The Best City For Your Job?

 
While projections can change based on a multitude of events, Houston and The Greater Woodlands Area has the most positive outlook for residential real estate of any city in the nation.  It has sustained positive press in national news throughout the mortgage debacle, the credit crunch, the Wall Street meltdown and a devastating hurricane.   That’s good news for investors, buyers and sellers of Houston residential real estate.

If there is anything we can do for you, let me know, give me a call – 832-797-1779.

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Video Real Estate Market Report – November 2008

by Ken Brand, Sales Manager - Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors / The Woodlands TX / Cell: 832-797-1779 on November 5, 2008

Welcome to my new monthly Video Real Estate Market REport - Click Here To View or Click on the Picture

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Housing Bill Parsed, Details Explained – Tax Credit, Jumbo Loans and a bit more

by Ken Brand, Sales Manager - Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors / The Woodlands TX / Cell: 832-797-1779 on August 1, 2008

As the fine details about the $300 Billion Dollar Housing Bill become available, I’ll share them here.  Overall, the plan should benefit the housing market and the economy in general.

Unwrapped, Housing Tax ‘Credit’ is Really a Loan — Washington Post

Washington Post, By Michelle Singletary 

July 31, 2008 

There’s been a lot of discussion about how much the new housing bill passed by Congress will help individuals facing foreclosure.

Some will be able to keep their homes, to be sure. But there’s a different provision of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act that I want to focus on — the much-trumpeted tax credit for first-time homebuyers.

A tax credit is much more valuable than a deduction. A credit reduces dollar for dollar the amount of tax you owe. A deduction merely reduces the amount of your income that is taxable.

Under the new law, certain homeowners will be eligible for a tax credit equal to 10 percent of the purchase price of a home, up to a maximum of $7,500. The credit is $3,750 for married couples filing separately. Unmarried people who jointly purchase a home will be able to divide the $7,500 credit.

When I saw the $7,500 amount, I thought, not a bad tax credit. But there are all kinds of catches.

Before you rush to take advantage of this, be aware it’s a loan cloaked as a credit.

“Essentially this is a loan administered through the tax code,” said Gerald Prante, an economist with the nonprofit Tax Foundation. “I question whether the tax code is the best way to do this.”

Financially, the loan has about the best rate and term you can get. It’s interest-free. Homebuyers would be required to repay the government over 15 years in equal installments for any amount received. 

So let’s say you qualify for the maximum credit of $7,500. Considering the price of housing, just about every first-time buyer would qualify. The terms would mean a yearly loan payment of $500 for 15 years, or about $41.67 a month.

You have to begin repaying the credit in the second tax year after you purchase the home. If you sell the house before you pay off the credit, the entire amount becomes immediately due.

However, if you sell and the gain is less than the credit, then you only have to repay up to the amount of the gain. If the homeowner dies before the credit/loan is repaid, any outstanding amount is forgiven.

The new law defines a first-time homeowner as an individual who has had no ownership interest in a principal residence for a three-year period ending on the date of the current home purchase.

 

Also, there’s a small window to this opportunity. The credit applies only to homes purchased on or after April 9, 2008, and before July 1, 2009.

Another catch: High-income homebuyers won’t qualify for the credit. You can claim less of the credit amount the more you earn. The phaseout starts for single filers with adjusted income of more than $75,000 and $150,000 for joint filers. It completely phases out at $95,000 for singles; $170,000 for married couples filing jointly.

The credit is also not available to nonresident aliens or those who qualify for a similar tax credit in the District of Columbia. And you can’t take this credit if your home is financed by the proceeds of a qualified tax-exempt mortgage bond.

There is one other tax-friendly provision. The bill would provide homeowners who claim the standard deduction with an additional standard deduction for state and local real property taxes.

The maximum amount that may be claimed under this provision is $500 ($1,000 for joint filers), according to a summary provided by the Senate Finance Committee.

This particular provision will be helpful to taxpayers who don’t itemize. For example, a family with taxable income of $65,100 to $131,450 could deduct $1,000 of property taxes and pay up to $250 less in federal taxes, according to Nebraska Sen. Ben Nelson (D), who issued a release praising the deduction.

Previously, only taxpayers who itemize were able to take advantage of the property tax deduction. About 35 percent of tax returns include itemized deductions, according to Prante.

Ah, but there’s a catch to this deduction, too. It applies only for the 2008 tax year.

Nonetheless, at least for one year, the property tax deduction will help people who are close to paying off their mortgages and thus don’t have a lot of mortgage interest to deduct. It will also help low- to moderate-income homeowners and people in areas with no or low state taxes but who have high property taxes, Prante said.

Weighing these two tax provisions of the new law, I believe the state and property tax deduction will be the most helpful even though it is available just for one year.

I’m not crazy about the tax credit. This loan masked as a credit increases a homebuyer’s debt.

Yes, it will let some people reduce their tax burden, but the benefit is only temporary.

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Additional Deduction If you are a homeowner who takes the standard deduction on your federal income taxes and does not itemize, this one is for you. You can now take an additional federal tax deduction of $500, or $1,000 if you are married and filing your tax returns jointly. Again, this one is gravy; you get it in addition to the standard deduction.

Since itemizers are often people who pay a lot of mortgage interest, this deduction will generally benefit people who pay little or none, like those who have paid off their mortgages entirely or close to it. There is one hitch here: you will need to report the property taxes you paid on your tax form. If they are less than $500 (or $1,000 if you are married and filing a joint return), your deduction will be limited to the amount of the property tax you paid.

Reverse Mortgage Changes Reverse mortgages allow older Americans, generally 62 and older, to get a lump sum or a monthly check that comes out of their home equity. They do not have to pay the money back until they stop living there permanently or their heirs sell the house.

The problem with these loans, however, is that they often come with high fees. Moreover, some salespeople pressure borrowers who are applying for the loan to purchase annuities, long-term care insurance or other financial products that are not necessarily in the borrower’s best interest.

The bill tries to address both issues. First, it limits origination fees on reverse mortgages at 2 percent of any loan up to $200,000 and 1 percent beyond that, up to a maximum of $6,000.

The bill also states explicitly that borrowers cannot be forced to purchase an annuity or other financial or insurance product as a condition of qualifying for a reverse mortgage.

Finally, the bill raises the maximum amount that people can borrow. Before, the limits were set on a county by county basis, according to AARP’s legislative policy director, David Certner. The biggest allowable mortgage available anywhere was just over $400,000. Now, there is a nationwide cap of $625,500. 

Redefinition of Jumbo Loans Often, if you want the mortgage loan with the lowest possible interest rate, it has to be small enough to be purchased by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac from whatever bank or other institution originated it.

Under the new bill, Fannie and Freddie have permanent authority to buy bigger loans in areas with high housing costs. (Temporary measures allow them to buy bigger loans, but those expire on Dec. 31.) They can buy loans up to 115 percent of the local median home price, though they cannot buy any loans larger than $625,500. Any larger loan will generally be a jumbo loan, which will cost more in interest.

A Break for Veterans Lenders will have to wait nine months, instead of 90 days, before beginning foreclosure proceedings on homes owned by someone returning from the military.

Lenders must also wait a year before raising interest rates on a mortgage held by someone returning from military service.

These provisions expire on Dec. 31, 2010.

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Real Estate Market Report – The Woodlands, Tx – July 2008, by Ken Brand

by Ken Brand, Sales Manager - Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors / The Woodlands TX / Cell: 832-797-1779 on July 24, 2008

Bull, Bear, Bison or Lion?

All.

Download detailed reports HERE.

Bull – Prices are not declining. Real estate economists believe that 6 months of For Sale inventory represents a balanced market.  In The Woodlands, TX, according to Houston Association of Realtors, Multiple Listings Service Statistics, the inventory has never climbed above 5 months.  It’s a Seller’s Market.

Sellers: With the correct merchandising, positioning and marketing, you can push the price envelope.

Buyers: When you find something you really like or love, jump on it.  In The Woodlands,  screaming steals or deals are as rare as wild white bison.

Realtor Icons: Listings Inventory is worth chasing.  Invest your time, money and energy to position, merchandise and market like gorilla glue sticks, you win, your clients win.

Bear: Interest rates are likely to climb.  Prices are likely to climb like healthy vines. Waiting won’t fix it, act now.

Bison: Don’t follow the thundering herd.  What we read and watch, all the negative  news media reported, about the real estate market is true for some cities, it is not accurate for The Woodlands Area and Greater Houston.  Real Estate is local.  Here are the facts.

Lion: Buying or selling – Arm yourself with facts.  Choose a savvy, hard working, service oriented Realtor to guide you through the real estate jungle.  Wild success can be had, not for lambs, for lions.

You can download the entire report in .PDF format – Click HERE.

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